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Weaker multi-Si product demand reflected on continuous fall in multi-Si polysilicon, wafer prices

Poly Price

This week, only a few transactions had been made in overseas market, polysilicon prices are thus revised down. Prices of polysilicon for mono- and multi-Si wafers each dropped to USD 8.9/kg and USD 7.8/kg. Next week, polysilicon for multi-Si wafers may continue witnessing a slight decline in price quotes.

Although polysilicon for multi-Si wafers is priced below RMB 60/kg in China, buyers have continued negotiating for a lower price and therefore prices may drop further next week. Meanwhile, prices of polysilicon for mono-Si wafers remain stable at RMB 74/kg for top-tier makers. Some polysilicon makers are planning to conduct maintenance ahead of time, which will help stabilize prices in May.

Wafer Price

The Chinese multi-Si wafer market is undergoing price movment this week. A stable polysilicon price was originally expected, but following a slight fall in polysilicon prices this week, multi-Si wafer prices have dropped by 2.6% to RMB 1.9/piece and lower than RMB 1.85/piece for many second-tier makers. Prices will keep falling next week, reaching around RMB 1.8/piece for second-tier makers. As for overseas market, multi-Si wafer is priced at USD 0.26-0.265/piece.

Mono-Si wafer prices stayed constant in both China and overseas this week.

Cell Price

Since most cell orders have been confirmed last week, cell makers' inventory is kept at a healthy level. Not much transactions had been made this week, allowing prices to remain stable at RMB 1.19-1.21/W for mono-Si PERC cell and RMB 0.84-0.86/W for multi-Si cells.

With high order visibility in May, demand for mono-Si PERC cells remained strong during low season. Multi-Si cell prices will keep falling owing to China's policy uncertainty as well as weakening Indian demand in May.

As for overseas market, the PERC cell market has started to witness loose prices in Taiwan due to weakened demand. Meanwhile, lower module prices in India have led to an average market price of below USD 0.12/W for multi-Si cells in Southeast Asia.

Module Price

The module market saw small changes in prices recently. Although Indian demand remained stable temporarily in April thanks to remaining projects, module prices have started witnessing downtrend this month as market demand will continue weakening in May.

Looking ahead, cell and module makers will start to adjust production lines during the low season from May to June in order to improve module output and match the increasing need for wafers of 158.75mm (G1) size. More and more manufacturers are expected to switch production lines to fit G1 wafers in Q3, leading to much higher shipment in Q4.

PV Glass Price

The solar glass market saw chaotic pricing last week due to VAT cut and weak demand in April. Market price touched RMB 26.2-26.5 per square meter. It’s also the first price decrease after prices started to rebound from a lowest point of RMB 20-21 per square meter last year.

Because demand didn’t decline significantly in April, prices are expected to remain at the current level until new price quote is confirmed in the end of the month.

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